Report Detail Summary

An Outline of a Commodities-Based Strategy

June 03, 2013

Looking at the demand-side response alone misses one important point. The terms of trade or commodity price change also have supply-side effects. If one unit of a domestic good acquires more units of the traded goods, domestic producers will increase the production of non-traded goods, and as resources are shifted to the non-traded sector, the production of internationally traded goods declines and the production of non-traded goods increases.

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