Report Detail Summary

Can a China Slowdown Cause a Global Recession?

January 26, 2016

While we believe that China is a major player in the world economy, we believe that those who are questioning whether a Chinese slowdown would cause a global recession are overestimating the impact of China’s economy on the world economy. We do not share that view and suggest that we should focus on finding a different culprit to blame for the global economy travails. Interestingly, the integrated economy framework offers us a culprit.

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The ValueTiming™ strategy is based on the assumption that politicians and policymakers have particular views of the world, and that they will in general adopt policy measures that are consistent with these views.


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