Report Detail Summary

Global Investing: The LJE Third Quarter 2022 Outlook

July 07, 2022

All investors face capital-market risk. Managing that risk, evaluating opportunities in the context of their goals, and assessing specific investments efficiently requires broad, objective, close-to-the-capital-market thinking. A global allocation framework does not need to be a black box that processes statistical variables and then spits out an investment plan. It should be a logical framework that lays out choices for investors. The LJE process strives to accomplish these objectives. It summarizes in a logical and consistent way the investment choices recommended by our assessment of the coming economic environment. The Year-to-Date Performance of the global capitalization weighted global strategy is firing on all cylinders. All strategies are adding value relative to their benchmarks. The global tilt strategy with a 19.06% decline and the global buy portfolio with a 10.67% loss outperformed the 14.35% decline posted by the global benchmark. In turn, the global sell portfolio with a 23.11% loss, underperformed the benchmark as expected. The international strategy fared better. The sell portfolio with a 26.81% decline underperformed the 16.64% return posted by the benchmark. The buy portfolio with a 9.29% loss outperformed its benchmark while the tilt portfolio with a 16.15% decline outperformed the 16.64% loss posted by the international benchmark.

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The ValueTiming™ strategy is based on the assumption that politicians and policymakers have particular views of the world, and that they will in general adopt policy measures that are consistent with these views.


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