Report Detail Summary

Ignore Macroeconomic Bets at Your Peril

May 08, 2000

The recent announcements that two giants of the hedge fund business are calling it quits shocked the investment world. Newspaper accounts say that, in essence, the closings were prompted by abysmal performance. These accounts also suggest that the hedge fund managers, known for making huge macro bets in foreign currencies and global bonds, couldn't figure out how to make money in today's environment. The most common explanation given for the retirement of these two giants is that hedge fund managers like Julian Robertson are value investors who resisted the tech-crazy, momentum-driven market. Others like Stanley Druckenmiller have only recently come to grips with the stock market's dramatic changes.

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The ValueTiming™ strategy is based on the assumption that politicians and policymakers have particular views of the world, and that they will in general adopt policy measures that are consistent with these views.


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