Report Detail Summary

Best of Both Worlds: GDP Soars and Inflation Sinks

May 01, 1998

The Commerce Department announced yesterday the preliminary gross domestic product figures which showed the U.S. economy expanded 4.2% in the first quarter, up from 3.7% in the last quarter of 1997. The strong performance surprised most Wall Street economists who had been expecting a rise of 3.3%. The relatively robust expansion came as little surprise to us. We had expected annual real growth for 1998 to exceed 3.35%. For the year, our growth predictions were higher than most.

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The ValueTiming™ strategy is based on the assumption that politicians and policymakers have particular views of the world, and that they will in general adopt policy measures that are consistent with these views.


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