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The Value/Growth Selector

March 13, 1998

Data published by Standard & Poors on the performance of growth and value indices show that, over the last 23 years, growth stocks have outperformed value stocks roughly half the time - 12 years vs. 11 years. However, the average annual performance shows a somewhat different picture. The average gain of the value index exceeds that of the growth index by approximately 161 basis points (17.49% vs. 15.88%). Looking further, the data suggest systematic patterns in the relative performance of the two groups (Figure 1). A possible explanation is that changing economic environments alter the relative attractiveness of value and growth stocks. We believe the value/growth effect may be affected by the interaction of the tax code, government regulations and the inflation rate.

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