August 03, 2005

An investor who pays attention to government regulations and technological innovations may be able to anticipate industry responses to aggregate demand shocks. In doing so he may be able to anticipate changes in the alpha and beta coefficients of the various industries and from there implement a successful industry-selection strategy. Using historical evidence we have developed a classification of how each industry performs under different economic conditions. In particular, we have examined the output, employment, and price responses of the different industries over time.

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