Report Detail Summary

The Wall Street Journal's Forecasting Survey

March 11, 2010

On average, the forecasters believe the stimulus added one percentage point to growth in 2009 and that without it the unemployment rate would be 10.4% now as compared to the current 9.7% rate. However, only 6% of respondents believe the stimulus was the government policy that played the biggest role in rescuing the U.S economy from the financial crisis. 51% cited the Fed’s ultra-low interest rates as most important while 27% believed the Fed’s purchases of U.S. Treasuries and mortgages played the greatest role.

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The ValueTiming™ strategy is based on the assumption that politicians and policymakers have particular views of the world, and that they will in general adopt policy measures that are consistent with these views.


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