Expanding the Framework

We believe that historical relationships combined with thee information contained in the futures markets can provide the signals necessary to develop a forward-looking view of the world that on average will correctly anticipate the turning points in various return cycles. More, a top-down global view that focuses on policy changes at the government level and a range of geopolitical events is also useful in identifying and anticipating some of the secular and cyclical changes in relative performance both domestically and across countries.

Armed with such information, decision rules can be developed for determining how and when to choose a style, location, and/or size of an investment, and whether to do so in a passive or active mode. You can call this whole process the value-timing approach to asset allocation.

Any investor faces capital-market risk. Managing that risk, evaluating opportunities in the context of your goals, and accessing specific investments efficiently requires broad, objective, close-to-the-capital-markets thinking. Indeed, an asset-allocation framework does not need to be a black box that processes a large number of statistical variables and spits out an investment plan. It should be a logical framework that lays out the choices for investors. Stocks or bonds? Domestic or international? Large or small? Index or active? Traditional or non-traditional? Committing to a single strategy may only guarantee you mediocrity in the long run. Don't limit your options. You can do better. This website offers such a framework. The investor is free to choose and incorporate his or her own economic outlook to the asset allocation tool.



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The ValueTiming™ strategy is based on the assumption that politicians and policymakers have particular views of the world, and that they will in general adopt policy measures that are consistent with these views.


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